Reflexivity Monitor
Observe belief → price → belief feedback loops in real-time.
Analyzing Feedback Loops...
Reflexivity Insights
Understanding feedback dynamics
What is Reflexivity?
Markets aren't just prediction tools—they're belief-shaping mechanisms. When everyone watches the same signals, the signals change behavior, behavior changes outcomes, and outcomes reshape belief.
Correlation Metric
Measures how closely collective belief tracks market price. High correlation (>70%) indicates strong feedback loops where belief and price reinforce each other.
Cascade Risk
Detects when belief becomes self-fulfilling. High risk (>70%) suggests potential reflexive cascades where consensus accelerates itself.
Timing Signals
The meta-game is predicting when others predict. Watch for divergence patterns—when belief lags price, inflection points often follow.
Phase 3 Feature
This is a preview of Preda's upcoming Reflexivity Visualization Layer, designed to make belief feedback loops observable and tradable.
Real Oracle Data
Powered by CoinGecko price feeds and sentiment analysis. Belief metrics are calculated using time-lagged correlation algorithms.
Technical Approach
Belief state time-series analysis, market pricing correlation mapping, and reflexive cascade detection algorithms.